1. Iron and steel manufacturing
Australia’s iron and steel manufacturing industry has been in long-term decline due to a reduced global demand for Australia’s high priced manufactured steel.
Australia’s steel market has been further disadvantaged globally due to the high Australian dollar, which is expected to remain high, resulting in a forecast export decline of about 45% over the coming year.
BlueScope’s decision to exit the export market and reduce production capacity is indicative of this decline.
IBISWorld forecasts Australia’s iron and steel manufacturing industry will decline by 15.6% in 2012-13 to be worth $8.3 billion.
2. Cotton growing
Globally, cotton supply is expected to continue to exceed demand over the coming year, resulting in a fall in global cotton prices. IBISWorld forecasts that decreased demand for cotton from China, coupled with steady, healthy cotton production levels, will result in a fall of 8.3% in industry revenue over the coming year to reach $2.5 billion.
3. Recorded media manufacturing and publishing
Physical media manufacturing is inextricably tied to retail sales. Over the five years to 2012-13, the amount of CDs sold will drop by an estimated 11% annually to about 30 million – as consumers opt to digitally download everything from music, to movies and video games.
To combat this, the industry is looking to reinvent itself by developing music and video players that play digital media files. However, online file downloading and sharing still poses a huge threat for the industry.
In 2012-13, IBISWorld forecasts revenue for Australia’s recorded media manufacturing and publishing industry will decline 6.1% to be worth $861.1 million.
4. Pulp, paper and paperboard manufacturing
The increasing digitisation of media has had an adverse affect on a number of downstream industries, including Australia’s pulp, paper and paperboard manufacturing industry.
The increasing digitisation of media lowers the need for paper printing and publishing.
Confounding this is the continuing high price of woodchips, which further encourages the trend away from paper products.
Delays in the development of several key production sites – due to uncertain economic times and strong lobbying efforts by protest groups – has further affected industry productivity and profitability. In the coming year, industry revenue is forecast to decline by 5.2% to reach $3.2 billion.
5. Gaming and vending machines manufacturing
Over the past five years, the number of poker machines in Australia has contracted as state government caps have come into play – limiting the potential purchases of gaming machines.
Like many of Australia’s manufacturing industries, production activity has gradually relocated from Australia to countries with lower production costs.
This trend is increasing import competition, which is supported by the strong Australian dollar, making imported goods less expensive for local buyers.
This trend is expected to continue over 2012-13, contributing to a forecast industry revenue decline of 5% to reach $417 million.
Karen Dobie is the general manager of IBISWorld Australia. For more information on these, or any of Australia’s 500 industries, click here. This article first appeared on StartupSmart.
