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Business confidence in Tony Abbott’s government drops

It could be argued the introduction of an ex-post assessment of a regulatory decision would make the regulator’s job more difficult and costly, as it would be expensive and complex to undo decisions that have been proven to be mistaken. This line of argument, however, misses the key point. The requirement for an ex-post assessment […]
The Conversation
Business confidence in Tony Abbott’s government drops

It could be argued the introduction of an ex-post assessment of a regulatory decision would make the regulator’s job more difficult and costly, as it would be expensive and complex to undo decisions that have been proven to be mistaken. This line of argument, however, misses the key point. The requirement for an ex-post assessment incentivises the regulator to get it right in the first place.

Overall, the deregulation agenda, while an important first step towards developing an open for business strategy, is to some extent the low hanging fruit. The hard yards, which have a much higher impact on investment and business confidence, are changes in the industrial relations system, tax reform and the treatment of foreign investment.

A more ambitious, politically challenging agenda

Despite existing rhetoric, real unit labour costs (non-farm) fell steadily between 1985 and 2010, and have remained broadly stable since then. This means that it may be possible that a more efficient industrial relations system could lead to a better allocation of resources and lower business costs while maintaining real wages at current levels. Framing industrial relations reform along these lines might provide a starting point for a foreshadowed review of the Fair Work Act by the Productivity Commission.

An open for business agenda must necessarily encompass tax reform. The BCA seems to prefer a wider base, lower rate approach. A proposed approach is to finance a reduction in the corporate tax rate via extending the GST to cover food, health and education. For consistency, such an approach should also include eliminating a range of existing tax concessions that have eroded the tax base. The politics of such an approach would, however, be very difficult.

I have argued elsewhere for a more ambitious change in the tax system involving the introduction of an Allowance for Corporate Equity (ACE), which would enable firms to deduct an imputed return on equity. The key conclusion is that tax reform is a long and hard road and will certainly test the government’s commitment to an open for business agenda.

Another thorny issue that will test the government’s commitment is its apparent ambivalent attitude towards foreign investment. This is illustrated by the divisions within the Coalition on whether the Treasurer should allow the acquisition of GrainCorp by Archer Daniels Midland despite its clearance by the ACCC from a competition perspective. A clear statement by the Treasurer when he makes his decision on the 17th of December could go a long way in establishing the government’s credentials as business friendly.

Whilst the change of government has sparked business confidence, the new government must capitalise on this momentum by taking definitive policy action.

There are many opportunities for policy change towards an open for business agenda for Australia, through deregulation and tax reform in particular.

Initial signs show that deregulation is on the agenda and this would be an important start. But broad based changes that encompass reforms to the industrial relations system, foreign investment policy and the tax system, whilst more difficult to achieve, are crucial for promoting a business-friendly environment in Australia.

Flavio Menezes is a Professor of Economics and currently the Head of the School of Economics at the University of Queensland.

The ConversationThis article was originally published at The Conversation. Read the original article.